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According to statistics from the China Leather Association, between 2013 and 2019, China's leather shoe output fluctuated and declined, showing a gradual shrinking trend. From January to November 2020, the national leather shoe output reached 3.21 billion pairs, a significant decline. At present, my country is in an important period of quality upgrade, product structure adjustment, and low-end product capacity shrinkage. In the long run, the scale of the domestic leather shoe industry will still show a slow decline.

Increased downward pressure on the leather industry

Leather shoes refer to footwear that uses natural leather as the upper, leather or rubber, plastic, PU foam, PVC, etc. as the sole, and is processed by sewing, gluing, or injection molding. Leather shoes belong to mass consumer goods, and leather shoes enter the daily consumption circulation field directly from the production field.

The upstream and downstream products of the leather shoe industry are highly correlated, and the development of the shoe industry has driven the development of multiple upstream industries. The downstream industry of shoemaking is the shoe retail industry. The development of the retail industry and residents' consumption expenditure will drive shoe consumption and production.

From the upstream of the leather shoe industry, the world economic growth rate continued to decline in 2019, the growth of international trade and investment did not perform well, and the external environment for the development of the leather industry was very severe. In 2019, the output of light leather above designated size in my country was 574 million square meters. The leather industry clusters are mainly distributed in Fujian, Sichuan, Hebei, Guangdong, Shandong, Zhejiang and other regions.

Judging from the leather price index, in recent years, leather prices have shown a downward trend in general, with the index lower than 100 points and 75.43 points at the end of August 2020.

From the perspective of industry operation, industry sales revenue has declined, and in 2019 it was 109.8199 billion yuan. Overall, the downward pressure on the economic operation of the industry has increased significantly, and the task of accelerating the promotion of high-quality development, maintaining the healthy and sustainable development of the industry, and improving the ability to resist risks is urgent.

The production of leather shoes fluctuates and declines

From 2015 to 2018, the output of my country's leather shoe manufacturing enterprises showed a fluctuating downward trend, and the decline was relatively large. In 2018, the leather shoe export environment has intensified competition, the export environment has deteriorated, and the output of leather shoes has declined. In 2018, the output of my country's leather shoe manufacturing industry was 3.63 billion pairs, a year-on-year decrease of 18.97%. From January to November 2020, affected by the epidemic, the output of leather shoe manufacturers contracted again, with a value of 3.21 billion pairs, a year-on-year decrease of 18.73%.

Fujian Province is my country's largest leather shoe production area

The areas with fierce competition in leather shoe manufacturing are mainly concentrated in Fujian, Zhejiang and Guangdong. Among them, the output of leather shoes in Fujian accounts for more than half of the country. From January to November 2020, the output of leather shoes in Fujian was 1,875,618 million pairs, accounting for 58.43%, ranking first in the country; followed by Zhejiang. From January to November 2020, the output of leather shoes in Zhejiang reached 485,499,800 pairs, accounting for 14.28%. .

Domestic leather shoe production will decline

At present, the domestic leather shoe industry is mostly low-end products, and exports account for the majority. However, the current domestic leather shoe export environment is relatively sluggish. At the same time, with the rise of the Brazilian and Indian leather shoe markets and the gradual increase in labor costs, the future growth of domestic leather shoes Space is more limited. Therefore, in the long run, the domestic leather shoe industry is expected to show a downward trend in the future. It is estimated that by 2026, the domestic leather shoe industry will shrink to 1.7 billion pairs.