General

At the press conference held by the State Administration for Foreign Affairs, Li Xingqian, Director of the Department of Foreign Trade of the Ministry of Commerce, said that the main contradiction in China's foreign trade field has changed from the supply chain obstruction and the lack of contract fulfillment capacity in the previous two years to the shortage of foreign demand and the decline of orders.

At present, foreign trade companies generally have a serious decline in foreign trade orders. They have to take orders in spring at this time in previous years. At present, orders in spring have generally declined by more than 40%. It can be predicted that the foreign trade in the next year will definitely be negative. This is still in the context of the rapid growth of our emerging industries, and the export of traditional commodities will be halved.

The continuous progress of China has made many trading companies receive dividends and received many foreign trade orders. But who can imagine that after the end of the year, the loss of foreign trade orders will become more and more serious. Many people think that the speed is a little too abrupt. It was good to talk about it. Unexpectedly, after a year, foreign orders will be suddenly announced to be cancelled, even if the penalty is paid, it will be enforced, So many enterprises are even worse off, and many people are unemployed. What is the reason for this?

In fact, some experts have predicted the loss of this order. In 2018, when Sino-US trade started, some people mentioned the relevant concepts. By 2020, China advocates a new development pattern of domestic and foreign dual-cycle. In the final analysis, it is also to focus on domestic circulation, so domestic orders will increase and foreign orders may decrease. Many people don't take this prediction seriously. They think that foreigners can't live without Chinese goods at any time. Especially when they just joined the WTO, cross-border e-commerce has become the most popular industry, and many people have become rich overnight. It is just to see the booming development at that time that many people are mocking the United States, which is to dig their own grave.

By the second half of 2022, the export rate in the fourth quarter had dropped compared with the same period of the same period, and the United States, which was mainly engaged in trade war, had suffered. At that time, all countries in the world were suffering from the epidemic, so the situation at home and abroad was not optimistic. Many countries even relaxed control in order to maintain their livelihoods. In order to receive more orders, Chinese businesses take risks to work overseas. However, this is actually an internal competition. Those foreign trade orders that are determined to go can not be left. So the so-called "finalization" at that time was just the redistribution of the original cake. For example, orders in the north were snatched by coastal enterprises, and orders in the west were lost to the southeast. In order to get more orders from Southeast Asia, many enterprises have issued low prices, which means that the subsequent costs will be reduced and the workers will get less money.

If you change to normal times, the workers will not allow this to happen. But because of the current epidemic, it is not easy to keep a job, and it is difficult to have a high-paying job. So even if the conditions put forward by the enterprise are too harsh, there will still be many people willing to take this job. Finally, they will sigh that the boss has provided a position for themselves, so that they will not get nothing.

It is for this reason that many enterprises have started to get involved. Some large enterprises will try to maintain orders after receiving the news. Although the year-on-year decline is large, they will also try their best to bring orders to the company. Some small and micro enterprises can't get so much information, so they are closed, they can't transform and upgrade, which also makes the situation of enterprises very difficult. In the face of such a market, many people are ready to leave, and some people are starting to transform. We believe that foreign trade orders will rise again, because foreigners cannot leave Chinese products, but the situation has actually begun to change. I'm afraid that the way of investment and export to boost domestic demand will never happen again.

However, our country has strong strength. As long as we work hard, the future should be better again.