General

The international trade situation is grim. There are two signals that cause concern:

1. Several world-class ports have accumulated empty containers, such as Shanghai Yangshan Port, Ningbo Zhoushan Port, Shenzhen Yantian Port, etc.

2. In the tide of job hunting, the number of international trade enterprises in Guangdong and Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions, especially electronic factories, is shrinking, and there is no shift to add workers. The implementation of this trend has declined, and the arrival rate is less than 15%.

The decline of external demand is a long-term trend challenge, which requires attention to the following factors:

1. When the international trade between China and the United States turns cold, the international trade between the United States and Europe does not cool down, but rises rapidly.

2. The price of European and American routes is twice as high as that before the epidemic. The corresponding accumulation in the United States and Europe is partly due to the workers' strike and the insufficient arrival rate.

3. The Russian-Uzbekistan war and the energy crisis have pushed the European Union to move to the United States. The amount of investment in the United States has risen sharply, and some enterprises that originally planned to invest in China have lost.

4. The growth rate of Mexico and Vietnam is quite amazing, and the growth rate is faster than that of China. According to the latest international trade import and export data of the United States, the growth rate of the two countries reached 32% and 16% respectively, while that of China was negative 0.3%.

-In this situation, China's best choice is to implement the existing trade agreements and tariff preferences, strive for trade with Southeast Asia, and expand foreign demand.