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The auto industry has always had the saying "Golden Nine Silver Ten", and even in previous years, the auto market will continue from the fall to the eve of the Spring Festival. As for the fourth quarter of this year, whether car sales can continue to maintain a relatively high year-on-year growth rate still needs to be tested by the market.
June to August are the low season for traditional automobile consumption. Chip shortages and the impact of raw material price increases continue to appear, which will have a continuous impact on automobile sales. In June of this year, my country's automobile production and sales also showed a downward trend.
On August 4, according to data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the sales volume of the automobile industry in July this year was estimated to be 1.82 million, a month-on-month decrease of 9.7% and a year-on-year decrease of 13.8%. In terms of major categories, passenger car sales decreased by 11.2% year-on-year. Commercial vehicle sales fell by 27.1% year-on-year.
However, from January to July, the association estimates that the cumulative sales of the automobile industry will be 14.71 million, a year-on-year increase of 19%; in terms of categories, passenger car sales will increase by 20.5% year-on-year, and commercial vehicle sales will increase by 13.3% year-on-year .
On August 5, the Shanghai Futures Exchange rubber futures warehouse receipts recorded 181810.00 tons, an increase of 1,500 tons from the previous trading day.
In the past week, rubber futures warehouse receipts increased by 4,400 tons, an increase of 2.48%. In the most recent January, rubber futures warehouse receipts increased by 7,060 tons, an increase of 4.04%.
On Wednesday, Hujiao hit a maximum of 13,520, and Zhongyang Xian closed at the end. In terms of morphology, the Zhongyang line rebounded on Wednesday to recover the decline of the Zhongyin line in the previous trading day, and it closed up to around 13,500 in late trading, entering a shock rebound trend. Recently, Hujiao has repeatedly confirmed the support position in the 13200 area during the recent downtrend, and the upward movement can be used to observe the continued performance of the upward movement, and pay attention to whether it can effectively break through the 13500 line.
Operational recommendations: Hujiao can rely on the 13200 line to select opportunities and multiple orders to follow up. During the recovery phase, focus on the 13500 line, and further close or break through this line. In the short term, it is expected to impact the 13700 line. .
