Auto & Transportation

Ten development forecasts of the automotive industry

The sudden epidemic in 2020 has caused great changes in the entire automobile industry. However, the epidemic is only a booster for changes in the automobile industry. The fundamental reason behind this is the changes in the global economy and the changes in new energy vehicles are inseparable, so in this article we will boldly predict what changes will occur in the auto industry after 2021.

Automakers will begin to narrow the range of models

With the development of automobile modular platform, the integration degree of automobiles is getting higher and higher, which greatly reduces the manufacturing cost of automobiles. But instead of increasing, the number of car manufacturers' models has decreased. For automobile manufacturers, the most important thing is to reduce production costs through modularization and platformization.

Moreover, looking at the global automobile market, due to the rise of new energy vehicles, the demand for a large number of fuel vehicles will be reduced compared to before. Especially the demand for diesel vehicles will be reduced even more. Many manufacturers have even begun to abandon the research and development of diesel models. Provide gasoline models.

Try to buy an electric car with an open mind

Although so far, pure electric vehicles are still in the stage of rapid development. However, the results and changes brought about by rapid development in recent years are also obvious. At present, when most consumers buy cars, they will weigh between fuel vehicles and pure electric vehicles. If you already have a petrol car at home, the probability of buying a new energy car for the second car is very high. Although there are still many uncertainties for electric cars, including the range, including the price, the preservation rate of second-hand cars, etc., So far, the experience that pure electric vehicles have brought to most users is more of a surprise.

Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles will lose out in the competition with pure electric vehicles

Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles are already at a disadvantage in the competition with pure electric vehicles. Although Hyundai, Toyota and Honda have made great contributions to the development of hydrogen fuel cells, I predict that hydrogen fuel cell vehicles will still It will not be widely used in passenger cars in the short or medium to long term. The main reason for this is that there are too few hydrogen refueling stations. On the other hand, the battery density of pure electric vehicles continues to increase, the cruising range continues to increase, and the charging time is shorter.

However, in the field of commercial vehicles, hydrogen fuel cell vehicles may have more room for development.

Electric cars no longer fight for acceleration and endurance, but return to rationality

There are many factors that judge the quality of a pure electric car. In the past, due to the bottleneck of battery technology, the cruising range became an important factor in identifying the quality of pure electric vehicles. But when the current cruising range of most pure electric vehicles can reach a practical state, and then competing for acceleration performance, the cruising range seems a bit redundant. Therefore, I predict that after 2021, the next competition for new energy vehicle manufacturers will be to see whose user experience, after-sales service, and autonomous driving are doing well.

More automakers will finalize plans for pure electric vehicles

Since the advent of the era of pure electric vehicles, various car manufacturers have determined plans to abandon fuel vehicles and re-formulated their development plans for pure electric vehicles. In 2020, a luxury car brand is Bentley, which announced the shift to the production and sales of pure electric vehicles. Prior to this, Volvo and Volkswagen have announced that they have begun to gradually stop developing internal combustion engines. With this trend, I believe that after 2021, there will be more automakers to formulate development plans for pure electric vehicles.

Of course, the development plans of automakers are also in line with the development plans of many countries, because now European countries including Norway, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom have set a date to stop selling fuel vehicles.

The market share of pure electric vehicles will exceed 10%

According to forecasts, after 2022, electric vehicles will gradually occupy 10% of the market share. Many people are pessimistic about this time. However, in 2020, we see that due to the impact of the epidemic, many people are aware of the importance of health and awareness. Come to the importance of environmental protection. Therefore, both automakers and governments of various countries are vigorously promoting the development of pure electric vehicles.

If you don’t buy it again, the manual gear will disappear completely

Once upon a time, manual gearboxes were a cheap option and once a symbol of control, but now more and more car manufacturers have announced that they will stop offering manual gearboxes. Companies like Ferrari have also stopped offering manual gearboxes.

In addition, there are more and more new energy vehicles, and even the gearbox is a bit redundant, so if you still have an obsession with handling, then buy one as soon as possible!

More and more models will be resurrected

In recent years, more and more models have been resurrected, including Ford's bronco and Hummer. These brands have been resurrected, of course, thanks to the advent of the new energy era.

Cars that are hopeful to be resurrected in 2021 include Cooper, Jeep Wagney, Toyota Crown and so on.

Chinese automakers will also acquire European brands

It has been more than 10 years since Geely acquired Volvo. At first, many people were generally skeptical about this transaction, but look at the current Volvo is still in a very healthy state. Later, the Polestar jointly launched by Geely Automobile and Volvo also injected fresh blood into the development of smart cars. Taking into account the financial strength of Chinese auto companies and the financial status of some European companies, I think it is possible for Chinese automakers to buy European auto brands in the future.